Etoile Carouge vs Bex analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
77.8%
Win probability
2.26
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
<0%
+5
3.8%
4-0
6.9%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
8.6%
3-0
12.3%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.1%
2-0
16.3%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.2%
1-0
14.4%
2-1
8%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
24%
15.7%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
2%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
15.7%
6.5%
Win probability
0.49
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
5.2%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Etoile Carouge
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2007 |
NAT
2 - 4
ETO
21%
24%
56%
|
53 | 38 | 15 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2007 |
ETO
1 - 2
STA
38%
26%
36%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | -1 |
| 27 Oct. 2007 |
UGS
2 - 0
ETO
21%
24%
56%
|
54 | 38 | 16 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2007 |
ETO
2 - 0
TPA
76%
16%
7%
|
54 | 30 | 24 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2007 |
ETO
0 - 2
SIO
17%
24%
60%
|
55 | 76 | 21 | -1 |
Matches
Bex
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2007 |
BEX
1 - 2
BUL
20%
22%
59%
|
27 | 41 | 14 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2007 |
FCS
2 - 2
BEX
35%
25%
40%
|
27 | 21 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2007 |
BEX
2 - 0
MAR
31%
25%
45%
|
25 | 33 | 8 | +2 |
| 20 Oct. 2007 |
FCM
3 - 0
BEX
84%
11%
5%
|
25 | 50 | 25 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2007 |
BEX
2 - 2
FRI
27%
25%
49%
|
24 | 36 | 12 | +1 |