Ethiopia vs Trinidad and Tobago analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
29.1%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.7%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
7%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.5%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
45.3%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.8%
0-2
8%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.6%
0-3
4%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ethiopia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 2008 |
BMU
0 - 1
ETH
25%
23%
52%
|
69 | 54 | 15 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2008 |
BMU
0 - 2
ETH
26%
23%
51%
|
68 | 54 | 14 | +1 |
| 15 Dec. 2007 |
ETH
0 - 0
SDN
50%
26%
24%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2007 |
ETH
2 - 3
NAM
57%
22%
21%
|
70 | 59 | 11 | -2 |
| 17 Jun. 2007 |
LBY
3 - 1
ETH
49%
25%
26%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Trinidad and Tobago
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2007 |
SLV
0 - 0
TTO
30%
25%
44%
|
78 | 69 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 2007 |
TTO
1 - 1
GTM
41%
25%
34%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2007 |
TTO
0 - 2
USA
6%
17%
77%
|
79 | 93 | 14 | -1 |
| 08 Jun. 2007 |
SLV
2 - 1
TTO
21%
22%
57%
|
79 | 68 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2007 |
HND
3 - 1
TTO
61%
23%
17%
|
79 | 87 | 8 | 0 |