Ethiopia vs Guinea analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.4%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.3%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.1%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.4%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
48.3%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
0-1
11.1%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.5%
0-2
8.6%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.7%
0-3
4.5%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.7%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ethiopia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2023 |
GIN
2 - 0
ETH
65%
20%
15%
|
61 | 72 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2023 |
ETH
1 - 0
RWA
53%
25%
23%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | +1 |
| 21 Jan. 2023 |
LBY
3 - 1
ETH
43%
25%
32%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | -1 |
| 17 Jan. 2023 |
DZA
1 - 0
ETH
85%
11%
4%
|
61 | 84 | 23 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2023 |
ETH
0 - 0
MOZ
55%
23%
22%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Guinea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2023 |
GIN
2 - 0
ETH
65%
20%
15%
|
72 | 61 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2022 |
CIV
3 - 1
GIN
69%
19%
12%
|
72 | 84 | 12 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2022 |
DZA
1 - 0
GIN
74%
16%
10%
|
73 | 84 | 11 | -1 |
| 02 Sep. 2022 |
GIN
1 - 0
SEN
26%
27%
47%
|
72 | 84 | 12 | +1 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
SEN
1 - 0
GIN
66%
20%
14%
|
72 | 83 | 11 | 0 |