Ethiopia vs Eritrea analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
79.1%
Win probability
2.46
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.8%
5-0
3.7%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.6%
4-0
7.4%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.7%
3-0
12.1%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.9%
2-0
14.8%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.8%
1-0
12%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.4%
14.3%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
6.7%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
14.3%
6.5%
Win probability
0.56
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
5.1%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ethiopia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2024 |
ETH
0 - 3
GUI
19%
23%
58%
|
59 | 74 | 15 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2024 |
GUI
4 - 1
ETH
72%
17%
10%
|
60 | 74 | 14 | -1 |
| 09 Sep. 2024 |
ETH
0 - 2
COD
21%
24%
56%
|
60 | 74 | 14 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2024 |
TAN
0 - 0
ETH
45%
26%
29%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2024 |
DJI
1 - 1
ETH
11%
16%
72%
|
60 | 34 | 26 | 0 |
Matches
Eritrea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2019 |
NAM
2 - 0
ERI
73%
18%
9%
|
33 | 66 | 33 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2019 |
ERI
1 - 2
NAM
7%
14%
79%
|
33 | 66 | 33 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2015 |
BOT
3 - 1
ERI
76%
17%
7%
|
34 | 63 | 29 | -1 |
| 10 Oct. 2015 |
ERI
0 - 2
BOT
11%
21%
68%
|
34 | 63 | 29 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2013 |
SDN
3 - 0
ERI
84%
12%
5%
|
35 | 63 | 28 | -1 |