Ethnikos Sageika vs Messiniakos Kalamata analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
12.8%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.7%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.8%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
3.5%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
9.2%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.9%
67.3%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
0-1
12.5%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.9%
0-2
12.8%
1-3
6.5%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20.6%
0-3
8.7%
1-4
3.3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
12.5%
0-4
4.4%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.9%
0-5
1.8%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.3%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ethnikos Sageika
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 2014 |
KAR
3 - 1
SAG
84%
11%
5%
|
18 | 46 | 28 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2014 |
SAG
0 - 2
ERM
13%
20%
68%
|
18 | 43 | 25 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2014 |
KAL
2 - 0
SAG
71%
20%
10%
|
19 | 47 | 28 | -1 |
| 19 Jan. 2014 |
SAG
0 - 1
PAO
17%
22%
62%
|
19 | 38 | 19 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2014 |
PAS
1 - 2
SAG
78%
15%
7%
|
18 | 44 | 26 | +1 |
Matches
Messiniakos Kalamata
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 2014 |
MES
2 - 3
PAN
79%
13%
7%
|
41 | 23 | 18 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2014 |
MES
0 - 0
MIS
75%
15%
10%
|
42 | 28 | 14 | -1 |
| 26 Jan. 2014 |
DOX
2 - 0
MES
42%
26%
33%
|
43 | 40 | 3 | -1 |
| 19 Jan. 2014 |
MES
3 - 2
ACH
58%
22%
20%
|
43 | 38 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2014 |
PAN
1 - 0
MES
44%
26%
31%
|
44 | 41 | 3 | -1 |