Ethnikos Asteras vs Apollon Smyrnis analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.7%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
5%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.2%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.7%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.4%
14.9%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
4%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.5%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ethnikos Asteras
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2003 |
ETH
1 - 0
ARI
19%
25%
57%
|
59 | 81 | 22 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2003 |
OLY
2 - 3
ETH
30%
30%
41%
|
59 | 46 | 13 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2003 |
ETH
4 - 1
KAS
53%
25%
22%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | +1 |
| 02 Mar. 2003 |
ETH
0 - 0
HAL
48%
25%
28%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2003 |
KAL
2 - 0
ETH
35%
29%
36%
|
59 | 51 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Apollon Smyrnis
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2003 |
APS
1 - 1
HAL
31%
27%
42%
|
48 | 59 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2003 |
KAL
0 - 0
APS
53%
25%
22%
|
48 | 52 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2003 |
APS
0 - 0
PAT
43%
26%
32%
|
48 | 52 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2003 |
PAN
4 - 3
APS
57%
24%
19%
|
48 | 54 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2003 |
APS
2 - 1
APO
34%
29%
37%
|
47 | 59 | 12 | +1 |