Ethe Belmont vs Messancy analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.3%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.3%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.1%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.6%
27%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-49%
+27%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ethe Belmont
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2024 |
EBE
3 - 4
ERE
69%
17%
14%
|
33 | 21 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2023 |
EBE
1 - 2
LOR
41%
23%
36%
|
33 | 35 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2023 |
EBE
2 - 2
RES
62%
19%
19%
|
33 | 26 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2023 |
FLO
3 - 3
EBE
14%
18%
68%
|
33 | 15 | 18 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2023 |
SAR
1 - 2
EBE
46%
23%
31%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Messancy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 2024 |
LIB
4 - 0
MES
61%
20%
20%
|
31 | 36 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2023 |
EHM
0 - 1
MES
29%
22%
49%
|
30 | 24 | 6 | +1 |
| 10 Dec. 2023 |
VAU
0 - 2
MES
36%
23%
42%
|
29 | 25 | 4 | +1 |
| 11 Nov. 2023 |
MES
4 - 0
NOP
82%
11%
7%
|
28 | 16 | 12 | +1 |
| 04 Nov. 2023 |
FLO
0 - 3
MES
16%
18%
66%
|
28 | 16 | 12 | 0 |