Etar vs Septemvri Simitli analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.4%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.8%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.7%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
24.6%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.2%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
+26%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Etar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 2009 |
BAL
4 - 2
ETA
49%
26%
26%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2009 |
ETA
2 - 1
BEL
57%
23%
20%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | +1 |
| 26 Sep. 2009 |
BOT
0 - 0
ETA
47%
25%
28%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2009 |
ETA
2 - 2
BVR
29%
25%
46%
|
49 | 62 | 13 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2009 |
BAN
1 - 0
ETA
66%
20%
14%
|
49 | 60 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Septemvri Simitli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 2009 |
SEP
4 - 1
PIR
44%
25%
31%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2009 |
SEP
5 - 1
BDI
54%
23%
23%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | +1 |
| 03 Oct. 2009 |
VID
4 - 1
SEP
60%
23%
17%
|
49 | 55 | 6 | -1 |
| 26 Sep. 2009 |
BAL
2 - 0
SEP
48%
26%
26%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | -1 |
| 20 Sep. 2009 |
SEP
0 - 0
BEL
59%
22%
19%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | 0 |