Tecos vs Durango analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.9%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.1%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.4%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.2%
17.9%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-20%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tecos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 2018 |
GUA
1 - 0
EST
38%
26%
36%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2018 |
EST
3 - 0
TIJ
55%
23%
22%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | -1 |
| 24 Mar. 2018 |
ATL
1 - 0
EST
33%
25%
42%
|
50 | 45 | 5 | -1 |
| 17 Mar. 2018 |
EST
2 - 0
CHI
59%
22%
19%
|
49 | 44 | 5 | +1 |
| 11 Mar. 2018 |
PAC
0 - 1
EST
28%
25%
48%
|
49 | 41 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Durango
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2018 |
DUR
0 - 2
LOR
17%
21%
62%
|
43 | 56 | 13 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2018 |
NEX
3 - 2
DUR
62%
21%
17%
|
45 | 51 | 6 | -2 |
| 24 Mar. 2018 |
DUR
1 - 0
MON
31%
25%
44%
|
44 | 50 | 6 | +1 |
| 17 Mar. 2018 |
DUR
2 - 0
GUA
29%
25%
46%
|
41 | 49 | 8 | +3 |
| 10 Mar. 2018 |
TIJ
2 - 1
DUR
62%
20%
18%
|
42 | 46 | 4 | -1 |