Tecos vs Cimarrones de Sonora analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
18.9%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.5%
1-0
7%
2-1
4.8%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
13%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.5%
56.6%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
0-1
13.8%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.7%
0-2
11.3%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.5%
0-3
6.2%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
8.7%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.3%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
20
2º
9º
3º
25
1º
6º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
25 | 23 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
20 | 20 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
20 | 19 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
19 | 19 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
2º
|
21 | 18 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
19 | 18 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
20 | 18 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
16 | 15 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
14 | 14 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
10 | 10 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
6 | 6 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
3 | 3 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
0% | 100% |
|
Play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tecos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 2024 |
LCU
4 - 0
EST
47%
26%
27%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2024 |
EST
1 - 1
LCU
42%
26%
33%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | +1 |
| 05 May. 2024 |
EST
2 - 0
ZAC
44%
25%
31%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | +1 |
| 02 May. 2024 |
ZAC
1 - 3
EST
54%
24%
22%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | +1 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
EST
1 - 0
NAY
72%
17%
11%
|
51 | 41 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Cimarrones de Sonora
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
CIM
0 - 0
ZAC
70%
19%
11%
|
69 | 52 | 17 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2024 |
ALE
1 - 1
CIM
33%
26%
41%
|
69 | 62 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2024 |
CIM
2 - 1
CAP
45%
26%
29%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | +1 |
| 28 Mar. 2024 |
UAT
0 - 2
CIM
38%
26%
36%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | +1 |
| 25 Mar. 2024 |
CIM
0 - 1
TOR
35%
29%
36%
|
67 | 74 | 7 | 0 |