Tecos vs Cimarrones de Sonora analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
68.3%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.2%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.8%
2-0
13%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.9%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.5%
12.2%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.8%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tecos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 2014 |
ZAC
1 - 2
EST
20%
24%
56%
|
62 | 44 | 18 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2014 |
TEP
1 - 0
EST
21%
26%
53%
|
64 | 50 | 14 | -2 |
| 20 Sep. 2014 |
EST
1 - 3
TAM
75%
17%
9%
|
64 | 40 | 24 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2014 |
REY
2 - 0
EST
17%
22%
62%
|
65 | 38 | 27 | -1 |
| 30 Aug. 2014 |
DUR
2 - 2
EST
20%
24%
56%
|
66 | 51 | 15 | -1 |
Matches
Cimarrones de Sonora
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2014 |
CIM
3 - 1
TEP
43%
25%
32%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
TAM
0 - 1
CIM
40%
25%
35%
|
48 | 43 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2014 |
CIM
2 - 1
REY
65%
20%
15%
|
47 | 40 | 7 | +1 |
| 07 Sep. 2014 |
CIM
3 - 1
DUR
41%
26%
33%
|
47 | 51 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2014 |
SOL
2 - 0
CIM
26%
25%
49%
|
49 | 37 | 12 | -2 |