Estudiantes Río Cuarto vs Sarmiento Leones analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
75.7%
Win probability
2.45
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.1%
4-0
6.4%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.9%
3-0
10.4%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.8%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.9%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
15.5%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.5%
8.8%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.5%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+18%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Estudiantes Río Cuarto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 2016 |
ATE
1 - 2
EST
11%
18%
72%
|
41 | 19 | 22 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2016 |
EST
3 - 0
RCU
86%
10%
4%
|
41 | 15 | 26 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2016 |
CAA
0 - 0
EST
31%
26%
43%
|
41 | 33 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2016 |
ALP
0 - 1
EST
29%
24%
47%
|
41 | 34 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
EST
0 - 0
TIR
74%
16%
10%
|
41 | 29 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Sarmiento Leones
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2016 |
SAR
4 - 0
ARG
44%
24%
33%
|
28 | 29 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2016 |
ATE
0 - 2
SAR
27%
24%
49%
|
27 | 19 | 8 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 2016 |
RCU
0 - 0
SAR
18%
21%
61%
|
27 | 15 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
SAR
2 - 0
CAA
26%
23%
52%
|
25 | 35 | 10 | +2 |
| 14 Sep. 2016 |
ALP
0 - 0
SAR
66%
19%
15%
|
25 | 34 | 9 | 0 |