Estudiantes Río Cuarto vs Jorge Newbery VM analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
75.8%
Win probability
2.3
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
3%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.7%
4-0
6.4%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.4%
3-0
11.2%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.6%
2-0
14.5%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.5%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
16.2%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
16.1%
8%
Win probability
0.6
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.2%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Estudiantes Río Cuarto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2014 |
JNE
2 - 2
EST
21%
24%
54%
|
58 | 40 | 18 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2014 |
EST
2 - 0
ROS
72%
18%
10%
|
58 | 41 | 17 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2014 |
TRE
2 - 1
EST
22%
25%
53%
|
58 | 41 | 17 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2013 |
EST
2 - 1
FER
53%
24%
23%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | +1 |
| 12 Dec. 2013 |
UNI
0 - 0
EST
28%
24%
48%
|
59 | 52 | 7 | -2 |
Matches
Jorge Newbery VM
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2014 |
NEW
0 - 0
JNE
37%
24%
40%
|
35 | 40 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2014 |
ROS
3 - 0
NEW
60%
21%
19%
|
36 | 41 | 5 | -1 |
| 10 Feb. 2014 |
NEW
2 - 3
TRE
35%
26%
40%
|
37 | 43 | 6 | -1 |
| 02 Feb. 2014 |
FER
4 - 1
NEW
71%
18%
11%
|
37 | 53 | 16 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2013 |
NEW
1 - 2
CAA
22%
25%
53%
|
37 | 53 | 16 | 0 |