Estudiantes Río Cuarto vs Alumni Villa Maria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.6%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.2%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.9%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.4%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.7%
17.7%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.1%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Estudiantes Río Cuarto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2014 |
ATE
1 - 0
EST
11%
19%
70%
|
55 | 17 | 38 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2014 |
EST
2 - 0
ALI
73%
17%
9%
|
58 | 38 | 20 | -3 |
| 03 Mar. 2014 |
EST
2 - 0
NEW
76%
16%
8%
|
59 | 35 | 24 | -1 |
| 16 Feb. 2014 |
JNE
2 - 2
EST
21%
24%
54%
|
58 | 40 | 18 | +1 |
| 08 Feb. 2014 |
EST
2 - 0
ROS
72%
18%
10%
|
58 | 41 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Alumni Villa Maria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2014 |
SBF
2 - 3
CAA
12%
21%
67%
|
50 | 16 | 34 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2014 |
CAA
1 - 1
ATE
82%
13%
5%
|
52 | 18 | 34 | -2 |
| 03 Mar. 2014 |
TRE
5 - 1
CAA
33%
26%
41%
|
54 | 45 | 9 | -2 |
| 23 Feb. 2014 |
CAA
2 - 1
FER
47%
25%
28%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | +1 |
| 09 Feb. 2014 |
SRI
2 - 1
CAA
21%
25%
54%
|
53 | 36 | 17 | 0 |