Estudiantes Río Cuarto vs Alumni Villa Maria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
72.1%
Win probability
2.26
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.2%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.5%
3-0
9.7%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.4%
2-0
12.9%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.5%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
17.4%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.4%
10.4%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
3%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.6%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Estudiantes Río Cuarto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 2015 |
RAC
2 - 2
EST
37%
26%
37%
|
41 | 36 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2015 |
EST
3 - 2
ARG
81%
13%
7%
|
41 | 25 | 16 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2015 |
ALI
1 - 1
EST
16%
19%
65%
|
42 | 23 | 19 | -1 |
| 19 Sep. 2015 |
EST
0 - 0
ATE
86%
10%
4%
|
42 | 19 | 23 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2015 |
ALP
2 - 2
EST
13%
19%
68%
|
42 | 24 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Alumni Villa Maria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 2015 |
CAA
1 - 1
TIR
58%
22%
20%
|
32 | 29 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2015 |
RAC
2 - 0
CAA
59%
23%
19%
|
33 | 36 | 3 | -1 |
| 19 Sep. 2015 |
CAA
1 - 0
ARG
70%
18%
13%
|
32 | 24 | 8 | +1 |
| 13 Sep. 2015 |
ALI
2 - 1
CAA
24%
22%
54%
|
33 | 21 | 12 | -1 |
| 06 Sep. 2015 |
CAA
1 - 0
ATE
80%
13%
7%
|
33 | 19 | 14 | 0 |