Copa Libertadores Quarter-finals
Global 2-0
Estudiantes La Plata vs Defensor Sporting analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.1%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.6%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.3%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
21.4%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
14.4%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Estudiantes La Plata
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jun. 2009 |
EST
1 - 0
GOD
57%
24%
20%
|
85 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2009 |
TIG
2 - 0
EST
33%
28%
39%
|
85 | 76 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2009 |
DEF
0 - 1
EST
48%
26%
26%
|
85 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2009 |
EST
3 - 2
ARG
55%
25%
21%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2009 |
IND
1 - 5
EST
39%
28%
33%
|
85 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Defensor Sporting
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jun. 2009 |
JUV
1 - 2
DEF
20%
26%
54%
|
81 | 58 | 23 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2009 |
DEF
2 - 3
TAC
75%
17%
8%
|
83 | 65 | 18 | -2 |
| 29 May. 2009 |
DEF
0 - 1
EST
48%
26%
26%
|
83 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2009 |
JUN
1 - 4
DEF
24%
26%
50%
|
83 | 64 | 19 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2009 |
BOC
0 - 1
DEF
58%
23%
19%
|
83 | 85 | 2 | 0 |