Estudiantes de Mérida vs Lara FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.4%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.5%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.6%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.3%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.8%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
20.2%
16.3%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.9%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Estudiantes de Mérida
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2008 |
MIN
2 - 1
EST
61%
22%
18%
|
62 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2008 |
LAR
0 - 1
EST
32%
23%
45%
|
61 | 55 | 6 | +1 |
| 14 Sep. 2008 |
EST
0 - 1
LLA
50%
26%
24%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | -1 |
| 29 Aug. 2008 |
GUA
1 - 3
EST
62%
22%
17%
|
61 | 71 | 10 | +1 |
| 24 Aug. 2008 |
EST
4 - 1
POR
29%
26%
44%
|
59 | 69 | 10 | +2 |
Matches
Lara FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2008 |
LAR
1 - 0
ATL
72%
18%
11%
|
54 | 40 | 14 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2008 |
LAR
0 - 1
EST
32%
23%
45%
|
55 | 61 | 6 | -1 |
| 30 Aug. 2008 |
ATL
0 - 1
LAR
66%
21%
14%
|
55 | 64 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2008 |
LAR
3 - 0
ZAM
60%
22%
18%
|
55 | 50 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2008 |
YAR
1 - 0
LAR
58%
23%
19%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | -2 |