Clausura Venezuela Quarter-finals
Global 1-2
Estudiantes de Mérida vs Monagas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
34.7%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.5%
2-0
6%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.8%
1-0
10%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.1%
38.3%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
10.7%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.3%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.1%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Estudiantes de Mérida
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2017 |
MON
1 - 1
EST
58%
22%
20%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2017 |
ATL
1 - 1
EST
39%
26%
36%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2017 |
EST
2 - 0
ZUL
41%
26%
33%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | +1 |
| 18 Oct. 2017 |
LAR
3 - 3
EST
61%
22%
18%
|
59 | 67 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2017 |
EST
1 - 0
ATL
57%
24%
19%
|
59 | 51 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Monagas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2017 |
MON
1 - 1
EST
58%
22%
20%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2017 |
MON
0 - 1
ZAM
51%
23%
27%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 2017 |
MET
0 - 2
MON
25%
26%
49%
|
65 | 55 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2017 |
CAR
4 - 1
MON
47%
27%
26%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2017 |
MON
1 - 1
TRU
66%
19%
15%
|
66 | 58 | 8 | -1 |