Estudiantes de Mérida vs Llaneros de Guanare analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.7%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.1%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.3%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
30.5%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.5%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Estudiantes de Mérida
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 2014 |
TRU
4 - 1
EST
61%
22%
17%
|
58 | 69 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2014 |
EST
0 - 2
MIN
21%
25%
54%
|
59 | 74 | 15 | -1 |
| 26 Jan. 2014 |
EST
1 - 1
YAR
56%
23%
21%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2014 |
ZAM
4 - 2
EST
68%
19%
13%
|
60 | 72 | 12 | -1 |
| 19 Jan. 2014 |
DEP
2 - 1
EST
36%
27%
38%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Llaneros de Guanare
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 2014 |
LLA
1 - 1
DEP
47%
25%
28%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2014 |
ARA
3 - 0
LLA
53%
24%
23%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | -1 |
| 26 Jan. 2014 |
LLA
0 - 1
ZUL
45%
25%
31%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2014 |
CFC
2 - 1
LLA
71%
19%
10%
|
61 | 75 | 14 | -1 |
| 12 Jan. 2014 |
LLA
0 - 1
CAR
44%
25%
32%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | 0 |