Estudiantes de Mérida vs Deportivo Táchira analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
36.5%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.7%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.5%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.8%
38.7%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.2%
0-2
6%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.4%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Estudiantes de Mérida
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
DEP
1 - 3
EST
40%
27%
33%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2023 |
ZAM
1 - 5
EST
56%
24%
21%
|
61 | 68 | 7 | +2 |
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
EST
1 - 3
APC
43%
26%
31%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | -1 |
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
TAC
3 - 0
EST
53%
24%
23%
|
62 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
BAR
2 - 5
EST
46%
25%
28%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Deportivo Táchira
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
TAC
5 - 0
DRZ
67%
21%
12%
|
69 | 50 | 19 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
CAR
1 - 3
TAC
41%
28%
30%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | +1 |
| 18 Feb. 2023 |
TAC
1 - 0
MON
44%
26%
30%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | +1 |
| 10 Feb. 2023 |
BAR
3 - 1
TAC
34%
28%
39%
|
68 | 60 | 8 | -1 |
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
TAC
3 - 0
EST
53%
24%
23%
|
67 | 62 | 5 | +1 |