Estudiantes de Mérida vs Deportivo Lara analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.3%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.7%
1-0
11%
2-1
8%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.2%
27.5%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.5%
35.2%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.4%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.9%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Estudiantes de Mérida
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Nov. 2021 |
EST
1 - 2
TAC
35%
28%
37%
|
66 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2021 |
DEP
2 - 1
EST
46%
27%
27%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2021 |
EST
2 - 2
MON
42%
26%
32%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2021 |
EST
1 - 1
CFC
35%
27%
38%
|
67 | 73 | 6 | -1 |
| 01 Nov. 2021 |
LAR
4 - 0
EST
50%
26%
24%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Deportivo Lara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Nov. 2021 |
LAR
0 - 0
CFC
42%
27%
31%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2021 |
TAC
0 - 0
LAR
54%
24%
22%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2021 |
LAR
1 - 1
DEP
47%
27%
27%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2021 |
MON
1 - 0
LAR
39%
27%
34%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | -1 |
| 01 Nov. 2021 |
LAR
4 - 0
EST
50%
26%
24%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | +1 |