Estudiantes de Mérida vs Deportivo Lara analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
22.8%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.6%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.7%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
51.5%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
0-1
13.1%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.9%
0-2
10%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.7%
0-3
5.1%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.3%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Estudiantes de Mérida
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2012 |
EST
4 - 2
GVA
61%
21%
18%
|
58 | 52 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2012 |
POR
0 - 0
EST
35%
28%
37%
|
58 | 51 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2012 |
GVA
0 - 1
EST
35%
25%
40%
|
58 | 52 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2012 |
EST
2 - 2
MIN
19%
26%
55%
|
57 | 74 | 17 | +1 |
| 04 Oct. 2012 |
EST
5 - 2
LAR
18%
23%
59%
|
55 | 73 | 18 | +2 |
Matches
Deportivo Lara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2012 |
LAR
1 - 0
TRU
62%
22%
16%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2012 |
POR
1 - 0
LAR
12%
22%
66%
|
72 | 50 | 22 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2012 |
EST
5 - 2
LAR
18%
23%
59%
|
73 | 55 | 18 | -1 |
| 29 Sep. 2012 |
DEP
0 - 1
LAR
25%
28%
47%
|
73 | 63 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2012 |
LAR
1 - 2
EST
78%
15%
8%
|
74 | 54 | 20 | -1 |