Estudiantes de Mérida vs Deportivo Lara analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.3%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.9%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.3%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
33.9%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.2%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.7%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Estudiantes de Mérida
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 2010 |
ATL
2 - 2
EST
51%
23%
26%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2010 |
EST
0 - 2
ARA
54%
23%
23%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2010 |
CFC
1 - 0
EST
61%
22%
17%
|
68 | 75 | 7 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 2010 |
MIN
1 - 1
EST
52%
24%
24%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2010 |
EST
1 - 0
ITA
64%
19%
17%
|
68 | 58 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Deportivo Lara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 2010 |
LAR
1 - 1
YAR
70%
18%
13%
|
73 | 56 | 17 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2010 |
TAC
0 - 0
LAR
53%
23%
23%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2010 |
LAR
2 - 1
ANZ
54%
24%
22%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | +1 |
| 02 Apr. 2010 |
LAR
3 - 0
CAR
66%
19%
15%
|
72 | 60 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2010 |
ZUL
2 - 1
LAR
36%
25%
38%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | 0 |