Estudiantes de Mérida vs Carabobo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
21.9%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.4%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.3%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
5.2%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
14.9%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
9.9%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
26.6%
51.4%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
14.5%
1-2
9%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.5%
0-2
10.6%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.7%
0-3
5.1%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.9%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Estudiantes de Mérida
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2017 |
POR
0 - 0
EST
46%
26%
29%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2017 |
EST
1 - 4
TAC
23%
27%
50%
|
58 | 72 | 14 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2017 |
ANZ
2 - 0
EST
62%
22%
16%
|
59 | 66 | 7 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 2017 |
EST
2 - 0
MIN
30%
29%
41%
|
59 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2017 |
EST
1 - 2
CFC
31%
29%
40%
|
57 | 66 | 9 | +2 |
Matches
Carabobo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2017 |
CAR
3 - 0
ARA
57%
25%
18%
|
71 | 62 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2017 |
ZUL
1 - 5
CAR
52%
25%
23%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | +2 |
| 09 Apr. 2017 |
CAR
2 - 1
LAR
46%
28%
27%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2017 |
ZUL
0 - 4
CAR
31%
29%
41%
|
70 | 61 | 9 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 2017 |
TRU
1 - 1
CAR
32%
29%
40%
|
70 | 62 | 8 | 0 |