Estudiantes de Mérida vs Atlético El Vigía FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65.1%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.2%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.3%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.6%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
9%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.3%
15.6%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.4%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Estudiantes de Mérida
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 2024 |
EST
2 - 1
DRZ
49%
25%
26%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
POR
3 - 2
EST
50%
26%
24%
|
64 | 72 | 8 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
EST
3 - 1
ZAM
39%
26%
35%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | +2 |
| 31 Mar. 2024 |
EST
1 - 2
DEP
32%
27%
41%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | -1 |
| 24 Mar. 2024 |
CAR
1 - 0
EST
62%
22%
16%
|
63 | 74 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Atlético El Vigía FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jun. 2024 |
ARA
2 - 0
ATL
48%
26%
26%
|
55 | 60 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2024 |
HFF
1 - 0
ATL
49%
25%
26%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2024 |
ATL
3 - 3
URE
25%
26%
49%
|
55 | 63 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2024 |
ATL
1 - 1
FRO
47%
26%
28%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2024 |
TRU
3 - 2
ATL
45%
26%
30%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | 0 |