Estudiantes de Mérida vs Atlético El Vigía FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.1%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.1%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18%
1-0
14.2%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
24.2%
17.7%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Estudiantes de Mérida
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov. 2012 |
EST
1 - 0
ZAM
31%
26%
43%
|
59 | 70 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2012 |
CFC
1 - 0
EST
69%
20%
11%
|
59 | 73 | 14 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2012 |
ZAM
2 - 3
EST
70%
18%
11%
|
58 | 71 | 13 | +1 |
| 28 Oct. 2012 |
EST
0 - 1
LAR
23%
26%
52%
|
59 | 72 | 13 | -1 |
| 25 Oct. 2012 |
EST
4 - 2
GVA
61%
21%
18%
|
58 | 52 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Atlético El Vigía FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2012 |
ATL
1 - 1
TRU
37%
27%
36%
|
57 | 65 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2012 |
DEP
1 - 2
ATL
62%
24%
15%
|
56 | 63 | 7 | +1 |
| 21 Oct. 2012 |
ATL
3 - 1
MIN
18%
24%
58%
|
55 | 73 | 18 | +1 |
| 15 Oct. 2012 |
ZAM
2 - 1
ATL
77%
16%
7%
|
55 | 70 | 15 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2012 |
ATL
1 - 2
GVA
61%
20%
19%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | -1 |