Estudiantes de Mérida vs Atlético El Vigía FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.9%
2-0
9%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.9%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24%
23.9%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-26%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Estudiantes de Mérida
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Aug. 2006 |
TUR
2 - 3
EST
21%
23%
56%
|
62 | 45 | 17 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2006 |
ITA
4 - 2
EST
39%
23%
37%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | -2 |
| 09 May. 2006 |
EST
2 - 3
CFC
31%
26%
43%
|
64 | 76 | 12 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2006 |
MON
3 - 0
EST
38%
26%
36%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | -1 |
| 26 Apr. 2006 |
MAR
1 - 1
EST
59%
22%
19%
|
65 | 75 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Atlético El Vigía FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 May. 2004 |
ATL
1 - 1
TRU
36%
25%
39%
|
61 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2004 |
EST
4 - 1
ATL
54%
23%
24%
|
62 | 67 | 5 | -1 |
| 25 Apr. 2004 |
ATL
0 - 0
MON
36%
25%
40%
|
62 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2004 |
TAC
5 - 4
ATL
68%
20%
11%
|
62 | 77 | 15 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2004 |
ATL
1 - 1
MAR
33%
25%
43%
|
62 | 71 | 9 | 0 |