Copa de la Superliga Reservas Quarter-finals
Global 1-1
Estudiantes La Plata II vs Independiente II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.5%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.4%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
26%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
26.5%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.6%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Estudiantes La Plata II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May. 2019 |
IND
1 - 0
EST
35%
26%
40%
|
25 | 22 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2019 |
EST
2 - 0
PAT
47%
23%
30%
|
25 | 21 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2019 |
PAT
2 - 1
EST
25%
22%
53%
|
25 | 20 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2019 |
EST
0 - 1
DYJ
72%
18%
10%
|
26 | 14 | 12 | -1 |
| 12 Apr. 2019 |
DYJ
1 - 2
EST
14%
21%
65%
|
26 | 14 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Independiente II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May. 2019 |
IND
1 - 0
EST
35%
26%
40%
|
22 | 25 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2019 |
BOC
0 - 1
IND
65%
21%
14%
|
22 | 30 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2019 |
IND
2 - 1
BOC
22%
26%
53%
|
20 | 32 | 12 | +2 |
| 19 Apr. 2019 |
TAL
1 - 1
IND
63%
20%
17%
|
20 | 25 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2019 |
IND
0 - 0
TAL
23%
21%
56%
|
20 | 25 | 5 | 0 |