Estudiantes de Caracas vs Policia de Lara analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
66.5%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.1%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.5%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.2%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.5%
14%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.7%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Estudiantes de Caracas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
URE
1 - 0
ESC
41%
26%
33%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2015 |
ESC
2 - 1
MIN
70%
18%
12%
|
60 | 46 | 14 | -1 |
| 22 Feb. 2015 |
ATL
2 - 1
ESC
32%
29%
39%
|
60 | 54 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2015 |
ESC
2 - 1
FAL
68%
19%
13%
|
60 | 49 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2015 |
MAR
0 - 2
ESC
41%
26%
34%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Policia de Lara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 2015 |
POL
5 - 0
DIA
30%
25%
45%
|
47 | 53 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2015 |
YAR
3 - 2
POL
66%
20%
14%
|
48 | 58 | 10 | -1 |
| 21 Feb. 2015 |
POL
0 - 3
MON
32%
27%
40%
|
48 | 56 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2015 |
POL
1 - 2
URE
39%
28%
34%
|
48 | 53 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2015 |
MIN
3 - 2
POL
45%
24%
31%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | -1 |