CA Estudiantes vs Def. Belgrano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.7%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.9%
1-0
14.1%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.7%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
25.3%
20%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.7%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CA Estudiantes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 2016 |
MOR
1 - 1
EST
43%
28%
29%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2016 |
EST
0 - 0
STM
66%
21%
13%
|
58 | 50 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2016 |
EST
1 - 2
FEN
51%
27%
22%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | -1 |
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
ESP
3 - 0
EST
26%
30%
45%
|
60 | 51 | 9 | -1 |
| 01 Apr. 2016 |
EST
1 - 1
COM
64%
21%
14%
|
60 | 51 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Def. Belgrano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 May. 2016 |
DEF
1 - 1
FEN
34%
32%
35%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2016 |
TAL
2 - 1
DEF
32%
29%
39%
|
56 | 47 | 9 | -1 |
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
ESP
1 - 0
DEF
36%
30%
34%
|
56 | 52 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2016 |
DEF
2 - 3
COM
40%
31%
29%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 2016 |
FLA
0 - 1
DEF
46%
28%
26%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | +1 |