Estrella San Agustín vs Nervión analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.5%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
4%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.2%
2-0
6%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
14.9%
1-0
6%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
9%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.6%
28.9%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
15.7%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Estrella San Agustín
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Dec. 2015 |
ANT
2 - 3
EST
66%
18%
16%
|
15 | 18 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2015 |
EST
1 - 1
ESP
34%
23%
44%
|
14 | 17 | 3 | +1 |
| 22 Nov. 2015 |
PIL
0 - 1
EST
29%
23%
48%
|
14 | 10 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2015 |
EST
1 - 1
CDP
53%
21%
25%
|
14 | 13 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2015 |
POZ
1 - 1
EST
52%
23%
26%
|
14 | 14 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Nervión
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Dec. 2015 |
NER
1 - 2
MAI
48%
24%
28%
|
15 | 17 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2015 |
CDA
2 - 3
NER
56%
21%
23%
|
14 | 15 | 1 | +1 |
| 22 Nov. 2015 |
ANT
6 - 3
NER
51%
23%
26%
|
15 | 16 | 1 | -1 |
| 15 Nov. 2015 |
NER
3 - 2
ESP
38%
24%
38%
|
14 | 16 | 2 | +1 |
| 08 Nov. 2015 |
PIL
0 - 1
NER
24%
23%
54%
|
14 | 10 | 4 | 0 |