Estrella San Agustín vs Ciudad de Lucena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.8%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.9%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.4%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
30.6%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.8%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Estrella San Agustín
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 2016 |
XER
3 - 0
EST
41%
26%
34%
|
20 | 18 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2016 |
EST
2 - 4
XER
58%
21%
22%
|
21 | 18 | 3 | -1 |
| 30 Oct. 2016 |
ADS
0 - 0
EST
29%
25%
47%
|
21 | 16 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2016 |
EST
2 - 1
CAD
27%
24%
49%
|
20 | 24 | 4 | +1 |
| 16 Oct. 2016 |
CON
1 - 0
EST
63%
21%
16%
|
21 | 25 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Ciudad de Lucena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 2016 |
XER
5 - 0
CDL
53%
21%
26%
|
21 | 19 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2016 |
CDL
0 - 0
CAD
29%
22%
49%
|
21 | 24 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2016 |
LCF
0 - 0
CDL
37%
23%
40%
|
21 | 17 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2016 |
CDL
3 - 0
CCF
70%
18%
13%
|
20 | 14 | 6 | +1 |
| 16 Oct. 2016 |
OVA
1 - 1
CDL
28%
23%
50%
|
21 | 15 | 6 | -1 |