Estrella San Agustín vs Ciudad de Lucena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.2%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.3%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.7%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.5%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
37.5%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.1%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Estrella San Agustín
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Nov. 2014 |
BAR
2 - 1
EST
53%
22%
26%
|
12 | 13 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2014 |
EST
2 - 0
ANT
25%
24%
51%
|
10 | 16 | 6 | +2 |
| 02 Nov. 2014 |
ESP
2 - 0
EST
65%
19%
16%
|
11 | 14 | 3 | -1 |
| 26 Oct. 2014 |
EST
1 - 2
LAV
59%
21%
21%
|
12 | 10 | 2 | -1 |
| 19 Oct. 2014 |
CIU
3 - 2
EST
34%
23%
43%
|
13 | 10 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Ciudad de Lucena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Nov. 2014 |
CDL
3 - 1
CDP
27%
22%
51%
|
12 | 16 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2014 |
PEN
1 - 0
CDL
34%
24%
43%
|
12 | 10 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2014 |
CDL
0 - 0
ALM
74%
16%
11%
|
13 | 7 | 6 | -1 |
| 26 Oct. 2014 |
COR
1 - 1
CDL
26%
23%
52%
|
14 | 10 | 4 | -1 |
| 19 Oct. 2014 |
CDL
2 - 0
ATC
65%
19%
16%
|
13 | 11 | 2 | +1 |