Estrella San Agustín vs La Barrera analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
66.8%
Win probability
2.41
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.2%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.1%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.2%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.6%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.1%
17.9%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.9%
15.3%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
9.9%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+81%
+17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Estrella San Agustín
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 2014 |
MON
2 - 2
EST
25%
23%
52%
|
18 | 13 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2014 |
EST
1 - 3
ANT
60%
21%
19%
|
18 | 18 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2014 |
PAL
2 - 2
EST
15%
20%
65%
|
19 | 11 | 8 | -1 |
| 27 Apr. 2014 |
EST
4 - 1
CIU
72%
17%
11%
|
18 | 13 | 5 | +1 |
| 06 Apr. 2014 |
LCF
0 - 1
EST
25%
22%
53%
|
18 | 12 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
La Barrera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 2014 |
BAR
1 - 2
LAV
50%
23%
27%
|
14 | 14 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2014 |
ROC
2 - 1
BAR
74%
16%
11%
|
14 | 22 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2014 |
BAR
1 - 2
OSU
59%
21%
20%
|
15 | 13 | 2 | -1 |
| 04 May. 2014 |
MAR
7 - 0
BAR
72%
16%
12%
|
16 | 22 | 6 | -1 |
| 27 Apr. 2014 |
BAR
2 - 0
CDA
24%
22%
54%
|
14 | 20 | 6 | +2 |