Estrella San Agustín vs Atco. Villanueva analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
77.7%
Win probability
2.61
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2%
5-0
3.6%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.9%
4-0
6.9%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
10%
3-0
10.5%
4-1
5%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.6%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.8%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.3%
14.2%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
6.7%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.2%
8%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
5.9%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Estrella San Agustín
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
BAR
1 - 1
EST
28%
23%
49%
|
18 | 13 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
EST
1 - 0
LCF
53%
22%
26%
|
17 | 16 | 1 | +1 |
| 07 Feb. 2016 |
CDL
0 - 0
EST
47%
23%
30%
|
17 | 16 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2016 |
EST
3 - 2
UDM
57%
21%
22%
|
16 | 14 | 2 | +1 |
| 24 Jan. 2016 |
PEN
0 - 1
EST
13%
19%
68%
|
16 | 7 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Atco. Villanueva
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
ATC
2 - 4
MAI
56%
23%
22%
|
12 | 11 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
NER
1 - 0
ATC
62%
20%
18%
|
13 | 14 | 1 | -1 |
| 07 Feb. 2016 |
ATC
1 - 1
ANT
22%
24%
54%
|
12 | 18 | 6 | +1 |
| 31 Jan. 2016 |
ESP
2 - 0
ATC
68%
19%
13%
|
13 | 17 | 4 | -1 |
| 24 Jan. 2016 |
ATC
3 - 1
PIL
70%
18%
13%
|
12 | 8 | 4 | +1 |