Estrella Roja vs Deportivo Lara II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
14.3%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
1.9%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.3%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
4%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
10%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.1%
65.6%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
0-1
11.5%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.5%
0-2
11.8%
1-3
6.7%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
20%
0-3
8%
1-4
3.4%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
12.1%
0-4
4.1%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.7%
0-5
1.7%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.2%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Estrella Roja
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2011 |
EST
0 - 1
ARA
16%
19%
65%
|
20 | 41 | 21 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2011 |
ATL
5 - 0
EST
82%
13%
6%
|
20 | 49 | 29 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2011 |
EST
1 - 2
POR
11%
20%
70%
|
20 | 54 | 34 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2011 |
CAR
6 - 0
EST
87%
10%
4%
|
21 | 50 | 29 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 2011 |
EST
1 - 2
SCG
17%
22%
62%
|
21 | 50 | 29 | 0 |
Matches
Deportivo Lara II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2011 |
DEP
0 - 1
ATL
50%
24%
26%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2011 |
DEP
1 - 3
CAR
50%
24%
26%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | -1 |
| 08 Oct. 2011 |
DEP
1 - 0
SCG
46%
24%
30%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | +1 |
| 02 Oct. 2011 |
DEP
3 - 1
ARR
48%
24%
28%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | +1 |
| 25 Sep. 2011 |
ARA
2 - 0
DEP
28%
24%
48%
|
50 | 36 | 14 | -2 |