Estrella vs Vecindario analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.1%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.3%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.2%
22.8%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.6%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Estrella
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2013 |
UNV
1 - 1
EST
47%
25%
28%
|
36 | 35 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2013 |
EST
0 - 3
CDM
44%
25%
30%
|
38 | 37 | 1 | -2 |
| 01 Sep. 2013 |
CAG
0 - 1
EST
45%
26%
29%
|
37 | 38 | 1 | +1 |
| 25 Aug. 2013 |
EST
2 - 2
CDT
44%
26%
31%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2013 |
UDL
0 - 0
EST
83%
12%
5%
|
37 | 74 | 37 | 0 |
Matches
Vecindario
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2013 |
VEC
1 - 1
TEL
63%
21%
15%
|
32 | 25 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2013 |
SDT
1 - 1
VEC
27%
25%
47%
|
32 | 25 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2013 |
VEC
5 - 0
RSI
72%
18%
10%
|
32 | 21 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2013 |
LAG
2 - 1
VEC
23%
26%
51%
|
33 | 24 | 9 | -1 |
| 12 May. 2013 |
VEC
2 - 2
VIC
72%
18%
10%
|
34 | 22 | 12 | -1 |