Estrella vs UD San Fernando analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
36.1%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
6%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.4%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.1%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
37.8%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.7%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+31%
-17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Estrella
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2017 |
COT
2 - 1
EST
47%
24%
29%
|
26 | 25 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2017 |
EST
1 - 1
VSB
23%
23%
54%
|
26 | 36 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2017 |
LAN
1 - 0
EST
68%
19%
13%
|
26 | 34 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2017 |
EST
2 - 2
ARU
51%
24%
26%
|
27 | 26 | 1 | -1 |
| 17 Dec. 2016 |
EST
0 - 1
MAR
57%
23%
21%
|
27 | 25 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
UD San Fernando
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2017 |
UDS
1 - 2
UPR
66%
21%
14%
|
33 | 25 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2017 |
PAN
4 - 1
UDS
34%
24%
42%
|
35 | 27 | 8 | -2 |
| 14 Jan. 2017 |
UDS
2 - 1
YAI
49%
26%
26%
|
35 | 35 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2017 |
CDT
1 - 3
UDS
53%
24%
23%
|
33 | 33 | 0 | +2 |
| 17 Dec. 2016 |
UDI
0 - 1
UDS
50%
24%
26%
|
33 | 30 | 3 | 0 |