Estrella vs Gran Tarajal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
24.4%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.1%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.6%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
15%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
52.1%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.3%
0-2
8.6%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
15.9%
0-3
5%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.1%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.2%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+27%
-95%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
16
10º
16º
16º
25
12º
16º
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
15º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
58 | 59 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
52 | 55 |
2º
|
74.5% | |
|
3º
|
51 | 54 |
3º
|
74.5% | |
|
4º
|
49 | 50 |
4º
|
67.5% | |
|
5º
|
47 | 48 |
5º
|
45.5% | |
|
6º
|
46 | 47 |
6º
|
8% | |
|
7º
|
46 | 47 |
7º
|
30% | |
|
8º
|
41 | 44 |
8º
|
85.5% | |
|
9º
|
38 | 39 |
9º
|
54% | |
|
10º
|
37 | 38 |
10º
|
31.5% | |
|
11º
|
36 | 37 |
11º
|
37.5% | |
|
12º
|
35 | 36 |
12º
|
62% | |
|
13º
|
34 | 34 |
13º
|
82.5% | |
|
14º
|
25 | 26 |
14º
|
70.5% | |
|
|
15º
|
25 | 25 |
15º
|
70.5% | |
|
|
16º
|
16 | 16 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Estrella
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 2023 |
ARU
2 - 0
EST
70%
17%
13%
|
20 | 28 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2023 |
EST
1 - 2
LPA
15%
22%
63%
|
20 | 35 | 15 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2023 |
VSB
2 - 0
EST
67%
19%
14%
|
20 | 31 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2023 |
LAN
2 - 0
EST
63%
21%
16%
|
21 | 33 | 12 | -1 |
| 17 Dec. 2022 |
EST
0 - 1
CDM
15%
21%
64%
|
21 | 37 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Gran Tarajal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2023 |
UDG
0 - 2
TAM
36%
24%
40%
|
27 | 30 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2023 |
PAN
1 - 1
UDG
68%
18%
14%
|
27 | 35 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2023 |
UDG
0 - 2
UDI
69%
18%
13%
|
28 | 20 | 8 | -1 |
| 08 Jan. 2023 |
UDG
2 - 2
CSU
42%
25%
33%
|
27 | 31 | 4 | +1 |
| 16 Dec. 2022 |
UPR
1 - 1
UDG
44%
24%
33%
|
27 | 26 | 1 | 0 |