Estrella vs Orotava analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.8%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.6%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.2%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.2%
20.1%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.5%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
+83%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Estrella
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Dec. 1981 |
EST
1 - 1
REA
58%
23%
19%
|
20 | 22 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 1981 |
CDP
2 - 3
EST
70%
18%
12%
|
20 | 22 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 1981 |
EST
1 - 2
GUI
53%
25%
22%
|
20 | 25 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 1981 |
TEA
5 - 0
EST
62%
22%
16%
|
21 | 23 | 2 | -1 |
| 29 Nov. 1981 |
EST
2 - 1
CDM
49%
26%
26%
|
20 | 26 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Orotava
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Dec. 1981 |
CDP
2 - 1
UDO
61%
22%
17%
|
25 | 22 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 1981 |
UDO
3 - 1
TEA
64%
21%
15%
|
24 | 23 | 1 | +1 |
| 13 Dec. 1981 |
SDT
1 - 0
UDO
65%
21%
14%
|
25 | 24 | 1 | -1 |
| 06 Dec. 1981 |
UDO
2 - 0
MAR
66%
20%
14%
|
24 | 22 | 2 | +1 |
| 29 Nov. 1981 |
TCF
0 - 0
UDO
51%
26%
23%
|
24 | 21 | 3 | 0 |