Estrella vs Maspalomas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.1%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.4%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
22%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
10%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22%
24%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.3%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+20%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Estrella
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2019 |
UDG
1 - 3
EST
29%
24%
47%
|
24 | 20 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2019 |
EST
2 - 0
CFP
65%
20%
15%
|
24 | 18 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2019 |
EST
5 - 1
BEC
65%
20%
15%
|
23 | 18 | 5 | +1 |
| 09 Feb. 2019 |
MAR
1 - 7
EST
22%
22%
56%
|
23 | 16 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2019 |
EST
1 - 1
UDB
58%
22%
20%
|
23 | 19 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Maspalomas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2019 |
MAS
3 - 0
BEC
72%
16%
12%
|
22 | 17 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2019 |
MAR
2 - 3
MAS
21%
21%
59%
|
22 | 14 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2019 |
MAS
1 - 1
UDB
61%
20%
19%
|
21 | 19 | 2 | +1 |
| 08 Feb. 2019 |
TER
2 - 2
MAS
61%
19%
19%
|
22 | 24 | 2 | -1 |
| 03 Feb. 2019 |
MAS
0 - 2
UDG
36%
23%
42%
|
23 | 26 | 3 | -1 |