Estrella vs Costa Ayala analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.2%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.8%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.3%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.8%
19%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.1%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+18%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Estrella
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jan. 2024 |
PDS
1 - 0
EST
38%
22%
41%
|
26 | 23 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2024 |
ING
0 - 4
EST
11%
17%
72%
|
25 | 15 | 10 | +1 |
| 10 Jan. 2024 |
EST
4 - 1
SNI
66%
18%
16%
|
24 | 17 | 7 | +1 |
| 23 Dec. 2023 |
BLP
0 - 4
EST
22%
21%
57%
|
24 | 18 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2023 |
EST
2 - 1
LOM
63%
19%
17%
|
23 | 19 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Costa Ayala
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 2024 |
COS
4 - 1
ARG
46%
23%
31%
|
20 | 21 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2024 |
COS
1 - 1
UNV
22%
22%
55%
|
20 | 29 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2024 |
MAS
0 - 1
COS
33%
24%
44%
|
19 | 17 | 2 | +1 |
| 23 Dec. 2023 |
COS
1 - 1
COT
27%
23%
50%
|
19 | 25 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2023 |
1 - 0
COS
24%
21%
55%
|
19 | 14 | 5 | 0 |