Estrella vs Tablero analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
70%
Win probability
2.41
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.5%
4-0
5%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.7%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.1%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.4%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
17.2%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.2%
12.8%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
8.7%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+20%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Estrella
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Dec. 2018 |
VIC
1 - 2
EST
20%
21%
59%
|
24 | 17 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2018 |
EST
2 - 1
DOR
64%
21%
15%
|
24 | 19 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2018 |
SGR
0 - 3
EST
8%
15%
77%
|
23 | 11 | 12 | +1 |
| 16 Nov. 2018 |
EST
1 - 1
SPM
60%
21%
18%
|
24 | 19 | 5 | -1 |
| 09 Nov. 2018 |
UCB
0 - 6
EST
9%
16%
75%
|
23 | 11 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
Tablero
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Dec. 2018 |
CDT
2 - 0
BEC
30%
22%
47%
|
16 | 20 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2018 |
MAR
2 - 2
CDT
35%
22%
43%
|
16 | 14 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2018 |
CDT
2 - 1
UDB
30%
22%
48%
|
16 | 19 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2018 |
TER
2 - 2
CDT
76%
14%
10%
|
15 | 21 | 6 | +1 |
| 10 Nov. 2018 |
CDT
2 - 3
UDG
18%
19%
63%
|
16 | 23 | 7 | -1 |