Estrella vs El Cotillo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.7%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.6%
1-0
8%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.9%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
33.7%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.4%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.8%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+18%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Estrella
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2023 |
1 - 2
EST
14%
17%
69%
|
21 | 12 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
EST
2 - 0
TIN
65%
18%
17%
|
20 | 16 | 4 | +1 |
| 29 Sep. 2023 |
2 - 1
EST
14%
17%
70%
|
21 | 12 | 9 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 2023 |
EST
3 - 1
TEL
53%
22%
25%
|
20 | 19 | 1 | +1 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
UDL
2 - 0
EST
76%
15%
10%
|
21 | 30 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
El Cotillo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2023 |
COT
4 - 2
ARG
44%
25%
31%
|
22 | 21 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
UNV
1 - 1
COT
56%
23%
22%
|
22 | 25 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
COT
0 - 0
MAS
74%
17%
9%
|
22 | 15 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
BEC
1 - 1
COT
23%
23%
55%
|
22 | 16 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
1 - 1
COT
18%
20%
62%
|
23 | 13 | 10 | -1 |