Estrela Portalegre U19 vs Peniche U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
12.4%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
0.8%
2-0
1.4%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
3%
1-0
3%
2-1
3.6%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
8.4%
16.6%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16.6%
70.9%
Win probability
2.5
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.9%
0-2
9.9%
1-3
7.8%
2-4
2.3%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
20.5%
0-3
8.2%
1-4
4.9%
2-5
1.2%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
14.4%
0-4
5.1%
1-5
2.4%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
8.1%
0-5
2.6%
1-6
1%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
3.8%
0-6
1.1%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1.5%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.5%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-26%
+5%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
7
5º
8º
7º
22
5º
8º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
33 | 36 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
26 | 29 |
2º
|
57% | |
|
3º
|
26 | 29 |
3º
|
57% | |
|
4º
|
23 | 23 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
22 | 22 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
10 | 10 |
6º
|
93% | |
|
|
7º
|
7 | 7 |
7º
|
93% | |
|
8º
|
6 | 6 |
8º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Estrela Portalegre U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May. 2023 |
LOU
7 - 1
EPO
64%
19%
17%
|
16 | 19 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2023 |
RSC
1 - 0
EPO
89%
8%
3%
|
16 | 40 | 24 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2023 |
SAC
3 - 1
EPO
81%
12%
7%
|
16 | 26 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
EPO
2 - 1
EST
69%
17%
14%
|
16 | 12 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2023 |
MAF
6 - 1
EPO
91%
7%
2%
|
16 | 41 | 25 | 0 |
Matches
Peniche U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May. 2023 |
PEN
2 - 1
CDF
22%
20%
57%
|
23 | 31 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2023 |
MAF
3 - 1
PEN
86%
10%
5%
|
23 | 42 | 19 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
PEN
0 - 2
RSC
15%
18%
67%
|
24 | 40 | 16 | -1 |
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
SAC
1 - 4
PEN
55%
21%
25%
|
23 | 26 | 3 | +1 |
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
PEN
1 - 3
LOU
69%
17%
14%
|
24 | 20 | 4 | -1 |