Estrela Portalegre U19 vs CD Mafra U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
5.6%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.1%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.2%
2-0
0.6%
3-1
0.4%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1.1%
1-0
2%
2-1
1.7%
3-2
0.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
4.3%
11.8%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
5.6%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
11.8%
82.5%
Win probability
2.82
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.6%
0-2
12.7%
1-3
7.4%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
22%
0-3
12%
1-4
5.2%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
-3
18.2%
0-4
8.4%
1-5
3%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
11.9%
0-5
4.8%
1-6
1.4%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
6.3%
0-6
2.2%
1-7
0.6%
2-8
0.1%
-6
2.9%
0-7
0.9%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
1.1%
0-8
0.3%
1-9
0.1%
-8
0.4%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-26%
-22%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
7
5º
8º
7º
33
1º
3º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
33 | 36 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
26 | 29 |
2º
|
57% | |
|
3º
|
26 | 29 |
3º
|
57% | |
|
4º
|
23 | 23 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
22 | 22 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
10 | 10 |
6º
|
93% | |
|
|
7º
|
7 | 7 |
7º
|
93% | |
|
8º
|
6 | 6 |
8º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Estrela Portalegre U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
EPO
0 - 3
RSC
7%
13%
80%
|
16 | 41 | 25 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
EPO
0 - 4
RSC
7%
14%
79%
|
17 | 40 | 23 | -1 |
| 21 Jan. 2023 |
SAC
1 - 0
EPO
74%
15%
11%
|
17 | 23 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2023 |
EPO
0 - 4
CDF
12%
16%
72%
|
18 | 31 | 13 | -1 |
| 07 Jan. 2023 |
EST
3 - 0
EPO
16%
19%
66%
|
19 | 12 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
CD Mafra U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
CDF
2 - 3
MAF
27%
21%
52%
|
40 | 31 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
UDL
1 - 1
MAF
59%
21%
20%
|
39 | 43 | 4 | +1 |
| 21 Jan. 2023 |
MAF
3 - 1
LOU
84%
11%
6%
|
39 | 22 | 17 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2023 |
MAF
1 - 2
PEN
76%
14%
10%
|
40 | 28 | 12 | -1 |
| 07 Jan. 2023 |
RSC
1 - 1
MAF
50%
24%
26%
|
40 | 42 | 2 | 0 |