Estrela do Norte vs Doze analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65.5%
Win probability
2.22
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.3%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.5%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.6%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
19.1%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.1%
15.4%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.2%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Estrela do Norte
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2016 |
DOZ
2 - 1
EST
21%
23%
56%
|
44 | 25 | 19 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2016 |
EST
2 - 0
CAP
64%
20%
17%
|
43 | 31 | 12 | +1 |
| 19 Mar. 2016 |
SAO
4 - 0
EST
52%
25%
24%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | -2 |
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
EST
1 - 2
DES
34%
25%
42%
|
45 | 49 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
ESP
2 - 0
EST
28%
25%
48%
|
47 | 34 | 13 | -2 |
Matches
Doze
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2016 |
DOZ
2 - 1
EST
21%
23%
56%
|
25 | 44 | 19 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2016 |
DOZ
2 - 3
SAO
15%
21%
64%
|
26 | 48 | 22 | -1 |
| 22 Mar. 2016 |
CAP
0 - 4
DOZ
59%
21%
20%
|
24 | 32 | 8 | +2 |
| 11 Mar. 2016 |
ITA
0 - 0
DOZ
73%
16%
11%
|
24 | 46 | 22 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2016 |
DOZ
0 - 1
DES
13%
19%
69%
|
25 | 49 | 24 | -1 |