CF Estrela Amadora vs Sporting CP analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
13.6%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
1.9%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
3.7%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
9.8%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.8%
65.5%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
0-1
13.1%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.3%
0-2
12.7%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20.2%
0-3
8.3%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
11.8%
0-4
4%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
5.4%
0-5
1.6%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
2%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CF Estrela Amadora
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Nov. 2003 |
EST
2 - 1
BOA
19%
27%
54%
|
61 | 83 | 22 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2003 |
SLB
3 - 1
EST
82%
13%
5%
|
61 | 85 | 24 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2003 |
SPB
2 - 1
EST
69%
20%
12%
|
62 | 73 | 11 | -1 |
| 01 Nov. 2003 |
EST
0 - 1
PAÇ
36%
28%
36%
|
62 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2003 |
RIO
3 - 1
EST
55%
24%
21%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Sporting CP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec. 2003 |
SCP
2 - 0
SPB
67%
20%
12%
|
85 | 73 | 12 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2003 |
SCP
0 - 3
GEN
59%
22%
19%
|
86 | 79 | 7 | -1 |
| 23 Nov. 2003 |
1DE
0 - 2
SCP
4%
13%
82%
|
86 | 42 | 44 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2003 |
PAÇ
1 - 2
SCP
22%
24%
54%
|
86 | 69 | 17 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2003 |
GEN
1 - 1
SCP
36%
26%
39%
|
86 | 79 | 7 | 0 |