CF Estrela Amadora vs Sporting CP analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
16.1%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.7%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
4.3%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
11.3%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.3%
61.6%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
0-1
13.1%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.4%
0-2
11.9%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.1%
0-3
7.3%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
10.4%
0-4
3.3%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.4%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CF Estrela Amadora
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 2003 |
MAI
4 - 1
EST
53%
24%
23%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2003 |
EST
0 - 0
FEL
65%
21%
14%
|
67 | 56 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2003 |
EST
3 - 2
POR
52%
26%
23%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2003 |
PEN
1 - 0
EST
38%
28%
34%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2002 |
EST
2 - 0
LEC
62%
23%
15%
|
66 | 57 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Sporting CP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 2003 |
SAN
0 - 1
SCP
16%
21%
63%
|
86 | 66 | 20 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2003 |
SCP
0 - 1
FCP
39%
26%
35%
|
86 | 88 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2003 |
VST
1 - 2
SCP
19%
22%
59%
|
86 | 69 | 17 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2002 |
SCP
2 - 0
NAC
76%
16%
8%
|
85 | 65 | 20 | +1 |
| 18 Dec. 2002 |
SCP
8 - 1
OLI
92%
7%
1%
|
85 | 38 | 47 | 0 |