Estrela Amadora U23 vs Sporting CP U23 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.8%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11%
1-0
10%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.9%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
35.6%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.2%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.2%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
-9%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
17
1º
7º
7º
17
3º
7º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
30 | 30 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
27 | 27 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
22 | 22 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
18 | 18 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
18 | 18 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
17 | 17 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
|
7º
|
17 | 17 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
3 | 3 |
8º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Estrela Amadora U23
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2025 |
GIL
0 - 1
EST
56%
22%
22%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2025 |
EST
0 - 0
FAM
34%
26%
40%
|
46 | 52 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2025 |
BES
0 - 0
EST
57%
21%
22%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | +1 |
| 21 Jan. 2025 |
EST
0 - 1
TOR
46%
25%
29%
|
46 | 46 | 0 | -1 |
| 10 Jan. 2025 |
EST
1 - 2
EST
60%
22%
18%
|
45 | 56 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Sporting CP U23
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2025 |
TOR
1 - 0
SPO
39%
28%
34%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2025 |
SPO
1 - 1
GIL
53%
23%
24%
|
53 | 48 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2025 |
FAM
1 - 1
SPO
44%
27%
29%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2025 |
SPO
2 - 2
BES
56%
22%
22%
|
53 | 47 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2025 |
SPO
2 - 2
EST
34%
25%
41%
|
52 | 55 | 3 | +1 |